Reflections on the present and future of electric vehicles

The electric vehicle has been postulated as one of the EU's main commitments in its fight against climate change and the reduction of polluting emissions in the transport sector. Currently, the European electric vehicle market is booming. In 2021, according to the ACEA (European Automobile Manufacturers Association), around 900,000 electric cars will be sold in Europe, an increase of 65%. In 2022, this positive trend has been consolidated, with a common increase in registrations of 28% compared to the previous year.

In 2023 the first half growth is 20% over 2022. The increase in sales of battery electric vehicles is expected to continue in the coming years, as the EU has set very ambitious targets for emissions reduction in the transport sector to reach 55% of total car sales by 2030.

Examples of these objectives include such topical issues as the

Euro7 regulations and the intention to ban the sale of combustion vehicles by 2035.

Both issues are being widely debated. The EU and the industry are firmly committed to the battery electric vehicle, but I will allow myself to introduce some elements for discussion and the need for action, mainly by public authorities. It is necessary to make a global analysis of the life cycle of the electric vehicle to know where we are and what we must do to make this the most sustainable environmental option. Leaving aside issues such as the origin of the materials needed for the production of batteries or the dependence on the Asian industry, we must not forget that in many EU countries, the burning of fossil fuels (coal, gas) is still the source of electricity generation.

majority. In a scenario of rapid electrification of the vehicle fleet in these countries, how would it be possible to meet the additional demand for electricity that this would entail? Would we be able to do so using renewable energies without increasing the average emissions per kWh generated, or would we have to burn more fossil fuels? It is true that there is a clear trend in the EU towards decarbonization of electricity production. In the year 2000,

According to EMBER, the average carbon intensity of internal electricity generation in the EU was 396g CO2/kWh compared to 255g CO2/kWh in 2022, a 35% decrease. It remains to be seen whether the renewable energy generation infrastructure will be able to absorb the expected increase in demand generated by the electric vehicle, facing the seasonality and instability normally linked to renewable energy sources. In addition, there is a lack of sufficient recharging infrastructure to supply the growing electric vehicle fleet. Here, unfortunately, Spain is clearly lagging behind, and the consequence, in addition to the poor management of purchase subsidies, is that the percentage of sales in our country, 10% in 2023, is half the EU average. On the other hand, there is still a long way to go in the technological development for the recycling of components, essentially the battery and its components, when the useful life of the car ends. Here again, it is the manufacturers who are investing resources in ensuring that the 360º development process of the electric vehicle means unparalleled progress in the environmental improvement of our planet. The automotive industry is doing its homework. We should ask the same research and investment effort from governments and the energy sector.

Friday, September 29, 2023

Franciso Abad

CEO of Tecco Automotive